| Nackの本のロールアウト結果 投稿者：itikawa 投稿日：2023/11/27(Mon) 16:45 No.59841 |
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最近のプレイヤーは知らないかもしれないですが、Nackという往年の
トッププレイヤーがいて、彼からメールが来ました。彼は様々な
バックギャモンの本のプロジェクトを考えていて、現在は基本戦略に
焦点を当てた「Backgammon Concepts」という本に取り組んで
いるそうです。Backgammon Openingの続編も構想にあるようです。
それで非常に重たい設定のロールアウトをする必要があって僕に協力
してほしいと依頼がありました。
僕はその依頼を受けることにしました。せっかく時間をかけて得られた
結果ですので、この掲示板でNack の依頼で行ったロールアウトの結果
を皆様と共有したいと思います。
皆様のお役に立てれば幸いです。
21S-11-g (two plays)
Pos N831.
Match to 2, White leads 1 to 0. Cr. | 164 | 
         
 
         
 | | 167 | XGID=-aa---E-C---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:11:0:1:1:2:10
GNUBg ID:4HPkASjgc/ABMA:8IlEABAAAAAA
1. Rollout¹ 24/22 6/5(2) eq:+0.405
Player: 54.39% (G:15.85% B:1.85%)
Opponent: 45.61% (G:16.36% B:1.76%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.402..+0.408) - [100.0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 22 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/23 6/5(3) eq:+0.397 (-0.008)
Player: 54.19% (G:15.66% B:1.55%)
Opponent: 45.81% (G:16.19% B:1.84%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.394..+0.400) - [0.0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 29 seconds
¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21112111
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
32S-62-s (two plays)
Pos N832.
Match to 2, Blue leads 1 to 0. Cr. | 162 |
| | 167 | XGID=-a--a-E-C---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:62:1:0:1:2:10
GNUBg ID:4HPkASLgc/ABMA:8AlLAAAACAAA
1. Rollout¹ 13/7 6/4* eq:-0.398
Player: 45.24% (G:14.99% B:1.84%)
Opponent: 54.76% (G:15.13% B:3.23%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.401..-0.395) - [99.7%]
Duration: 1 hour 39 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/18 6/4* eq:-0.403 (-0.005)
Player: 45.91% (G:14.35% B:1.85%)
Opponent: 54.09% (G:16.07% B:2.00%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (-0.406..-0.401) - [0.3%]
Duration: 1 hour 36 minutes
¹ 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 58357564
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
21S-54-g (three plays)
Pos N833.
Match to 2, White leads 1 to 0. Cr. | 164 |
| | 167 | XGID=-aa---E-C---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:54:0:1:1:2:10
GNUBg ID:4HPkASjgc/ABMA:8IlSABAAAAAA
1. Rollout¹ 13/9 13/8 eq:+0.203
Player: 47.02% (G:13.11% B:1.58%)
Opponent: 52.98% (G:18.18% B:2.73%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.200..+0.206) - [100.0%]
Duration: 53 minutes 43 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/8 eq:+0.195 (-0.007)
Player: 48.19% (G:11.58% B:1.21%)
Opponent: 51.81% (G:17.40% B:2.05%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.193..+0.198) - [0.0%]
Duration: 57 minutes 01 second
3. Rollout¹ 13/8 6/2* eq:+0.191 (-0.011)
Player: 47.08% (G:12.48% B:1.22%)
Opponent: 52.92% (G:20.19% B:3.00%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.188..+0.194) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 4742783
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
32Z-41-s (four plays)
Pos N834.
Match to 2, Blue leads 1 to 0. Cr. | 162 |
| | 167 | XGID=-a-a--E-C---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:41:1:0:1:2:10
GNUBg ID:4HPiASTgc/ABMA:8AlGAAAACAAA
1. Rollout¹ 24/23 13/9 eq:-0.437
Player: 44.04% (G:14.20% B:1.60%)
Opponent: 55.96% (G:15.90% B:2.01%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (-0.439..-0.436) - [99.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 51 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 8/3* eq:-0.440 (-0.003)
Player: 44.06% (G:14.70% B:1.82%)
Opponent: 55.94% (G:16.07% B:2.62%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (-0.442..-0.439) - [0.4%]
Duration: 3 hours 01 minute
3. Rollout¹ 13/8 eq:-0.441 (-0.004)
Player: 44.55% (G:14.59% B:1.37%)
Opponent: 55.45% (G:16.62% B:2.04%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (-0.443..-0.440) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 32 minutes
4. Rollout¹ 24/23 24/20 eq:-0.442 (-0.005)
Player: 44.54% (G:14.43% B:1.80%)
Opponent: 55.46% (G:16.65% B:1.57%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (-0.444..-0.441) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 51 minutes
¹ 18144 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9805360
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
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